Global monopoly of technology

Luo Sheng saw the gazes of the big guys focusing, and everyone looked at him silently as if willing to hear the details.

It was only that Luo Sheng opened a folder he put on the desktop and found a manuscript from it. This was the manuscript he hurried out overnight for today's seminar.

In the past, at some business forum exchange meetings, he basically did not use manuscripts, but he must use it here today, otherwise it would appear frivolous. When it comes to matters such as national defense strategy, it is not frivolous, even if it is clear.

Luo Sheng organized his speech in his heart, and then calmly said: “Artificial intelligence has entered the field of national defense strategy and national security and is regarded as a revolutionary technology comparable to the discovery of fuel, electricity or nuclear weapons. Artificial intelligence technology is in To a certain extent it has a transformative effect on the world, for example in science and social media."

"How do you view revolutionary artificial intelligence technology? Are the consequences for national security strategy and future international stability positive, negative, or dual? With the gradual in-depth understanding of the militarization of artificial intelligence, these problems The answer may be formed in the next few years."

At this time, the veteran general stared at Luo Sheng again and asked several questions that the military wanted to know the most and were actively exploring at this stage:

"So, what are the possible military applications of artificial intelligence in the short term? What factors have the potential to affect the stability of strategic deterrence? Related to this is how artificial intelligence changes the basic principles of deterrence? How does artificial intelligence military systems affect regional stability? What will be the connection with strategic deterrence? What will be the unintended consequences of artificial intelligence and the risk of strategic results?"

These six questions can be said to run through the core of this seminar. The old general did not say much but they were all very important and pointed to the root of the problem.

As a soldier, national defense security is always the first priority of all considerations.

Luo Sheng was silent for a moment, looked at the content of the manuscript in his hand, and said: "Military applications of artificial intelligence should be divided into two categories, namely, applications at the war combat level and applications at the strategic level."

Everyone nodded silently, agreeing with this.

Luo Sheng continued: "As far as the application of war operations is concerned, one is the ubiquitous and omniscient unmanned system; the other is big data-driven modeling, simulation and warfare systems; the third is intelligence collection and analysis. Simulation system; the fourth is an integrated system supporting precision intelligence systems, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR); the fifth is a precision strike system for strategic targets; the sixth is an effective missile defense system; and the seventh is an artificial intelligence network."

After Luo Sheng discussed the seven application levels he described, the following is a detailed deconstruction: "The development of a new generation of unmanned systems is a high priority for artificial intelligence military applications. The focus is on various ground, ocean and The navigation system of aerial unmanned systems, aerial and offshore platforms will also benefit from artificial intelligence guidance systems..."

While listening, everyone at the meeting whispered and nodded from time to time. They were also quite surprised.

The old general looked at Luo Sheng and smiled: "It seems that you have done research on the application of this technology to militarization, not bad."

Of course, Luo Sheng studied it, but said modestly: "The chief overwhelmed me. At best, I am a half-hearted military fan. Some humble opinions still require careful consideration. I can't afford this mistake in national defense security."

Regardless of other things, let's first come to a "disclaimer". At this time, basic operation and excellent risk control awareness.

Another participating military technology research scholar laughed and said: "No, Mr. Luo, your analysis is quite professional, most of which coincide with the military's exploration, and some supplements are even more impressive. Liang, you are an expert in the field of artificial intelligence, more thorough than us, your opinions and suggestions are very meaningful, don’t be humble."

The seminar was quite relaxed. Luo Sheng continued to answer the last question asked by the veteran general, saying: “In terms of the unintended consequences that artificial intelligence may bring and the risks of strategic results, I personally think that the negative effects of this disruptive technology may have the following 11 aspects."

Everyone was surprised when they heard it. The previous participant was stunned: "There are so many?"

Luo Sheng said: "It's just some analysis of potential possibilities."

The old general said concisely: "Which 11 aspects?"

Luo Sheng organized good words and elaborated one by one:

"Artificial intelligence may weaken the strategic weaknesses of both sides and increase the risk of war."

"Competing for superiority may bring new uncertainty to the future military balance."

"Artificial intelligence systems are susceptible to the influence of input data and cause unexpected consequences."

"Rapid decision-making and combat operations may be difficult to serve effective crisis management goals."

"Many potential positive regional deterrence effects that integrate ISR, defense, and complex battle management common sense cannot be realized in the short term."

"Big data and machine deep learning may not be able to solve the challenges of strategic warnings."

"According to the requirements of the battlefield, the tight operation and integration of multiple artificial intelligence systems may produce unexpected results."

"Regardless of whether humans are involved in every aspect of decision-making, this cycle will become more and more crowded."

"Everyone's views and positions on artificial intelligence are different."

"The public-private partnership will determine the future of artificial intelligence, but war is still a national right."

"Finally, war and peace are impossible and cannot be derived from predictive analysis."

Luo Sheng stopped speaking on the 11 risks in artificial intelligence that he listed. Then everyone at the meeting discussed the potential risks in these 11 areas.

Obviously, everyone attaches great importance to this and at the same time recognizes it.

After more than ten minutes of exchange and discussion, the old general also ended his silence, saying: "It can be compared with the problems faced by the early internal combustion engine: reliability, cost, lack of standards for machines, lack of consistency in production, and the complexity of internal combustion engines driving cars that lead to failures. Frequent."

While speaking, the old general glanced at Luo Sheng and then looked around at the crowd and continued: "Whenever new technologies appear, this familiar story seems to repeat itself. They can give people greater abilities at the time, and they also have great abilities. The safety and reliability of the country’s risk issues."

"Sometimes, like internal combustion engines or airplanes, these kinds of problems can be solved. Other times, like military spaceships or airships, the safety problem is so big that technology can never be as reliable and effective as alternatives."

After the veteran general’s speech, Luo Sheng immediately said: “Artificial intelligence and the future of war. The impact of this technology on the world will be far greater than the impact of military power and war. Automation will bring unprecedented effects in future work. Economic and social effects."

A military expert at the meeting immediately looked at Luo Sheng and said: “No matter whether it develops military-specific artificial intelligence applications, artificial intelligence will be an inevitable choice for the military. National defense and security strategies are attracting academics, business and military Perhaps the Americans may know better than the British a century ago that extensive technological changes will affect their military superiority, but not enough to guarantee their victory."

For a moment, I added again: "When people think that all technology is at the core of how people and organizations use it. From the defeat of the knights with bows and arrows to the naval aviation that ended the era of battleship dominance, the power The country believes that it is still in a leading position until a home defeat, and history has since been overturned."

"We don’t know whether the results of artificial intelligence used for military purposes will be the same. Even now this seminar on the development prospects, safety and reliability of artificial intelligence is not certain to some extent. It may be in the next 20 years. As a national strategic security analyst, considering the breadth of technology and the possibility of specific technologies, the emergence of the artificial intelligence era will to some extent reshape the future global military."

Luo Sheng did not comment on this. After the other party finished his speech, Luo Sheng continued to express his own opinions, saying: "The advantage of artificial intelligence is that despite the security and reliability issues, it can also foresee the waiting to die when leading the global military field. Risk. From data processing to the concept of bee colonies to battlefield management, artificial intelligence can help the army move quickly and accurately, while putting a smaller number of people in danger."

“Or it’s not the case. The current security and reliability issues specific to machine deep learning and neural network methods also mean that confrontational data and other issues are challenges for many military artificial intelligence technologies. But I cannot deny that artificial intelligence Application in the field of national defense is the general trend, but the country needs it, and I will do my best to contribute my little effort."

Hearing Luo Sheng's final position, the military leaders present nodded secretly and were quite happy.

Everyone at the conference participated in the discussion, expressed their opinions and spoke freely, and the debate was extremely intense during the seminar.

The core of the discussion is constant discussion and debate. Only through debate will the potential problems become clearer and clearer.

As a matter of fact, the military has begun dialectics about the application of artificial intelligence technology in the military field as early as five years ago, and it has become more and more clear.

At the end, the veteran general who attended the meeting said again: "The military is highly concerned about the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence militarization to ensure that the country obtains the greatest advantage, minimize the negative impact on strategic stability, and prevent strategic accidents."

This statement confirms that the military's application of artificial intelligence in the military field is firmly established. Just like nuclear weapons, the best means and optimal solution to get rid of nuclear blackmail and nuclear threats is that they have nuclear weapons themselves.

The truth is the same.

In the next three days, Luo Sheng and the people from the Academy of National Defense Military Strategic Sciences conducted close discussions and exchanges for three consecutive days, and the results became clearer.

On the afternoon of the third day, Yang Hongyi found Luo Sheng again.

"Mr. Luo, after the military's research and decision, I was appointed to communicate with you. I am directly responsible to the military. At the same time, the military also decided to give you three secret projects on artificial intelligence."

In the room, there were only Major Yang Hongyi and Luo Sheng at the moment. The latter immediately asked: "What are the three aspects of the project?"

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