Chapter 658 - 657: Betting Considerations
At the same time, in the audience seating of Community 2.
Qin Cheng was observing the situation in other communities. Since everyone had name tags in front of them, identity could be easily identified.
"Shengjie, look, the player representative of Community 23 is Wu Xiufang.
"This means that after returning to the community, she should have completed the wrap-up work and at least temporarily established her core position.
"She is completely different from what I imagined.
"The player representative of Community 11 is Bai Zilan, but Xu Guangxin is also there.
"This indicates that after ’One Word Breaks the Prison’, Xu Guangxin was ultimately accepted by the other community players, despite his actions leading to the death of fellow community players in the game.
"I wonder how they internally coordinate these conflicts.
"And Community 16, those should be Brother Zhang’s old acquaintances. I saw two players in the last game."
Ye Lin was looking serious, discussing the content of the previous game with Zhang Yan.
"Does Lawyer Lin’s setup book say he is the murderer?
"If that’s the case, it might be difficult to escape blame, especially since the players participating this time don’t seem to be ordinary people."
Zhang Yan was also frowning in thought: "Why are the suspects allowed to submit evidence themselves?
"In the evidence room, there must be a lot of evidence, and every suspect will certainly find something advantageous or disadvantageous to them.
"In that case, wouldn’t Tang Qing and Wang Yongxin just pick evidence favorable to themselves?
"As long as the two of them tacitly don’t undermine each other, wouldn’t they be invincible?
"This rule seems too unfair to doctors and lawyers."
Ye Lin paused to think: "This game carries the nature of judgment, but actors replace the real sinners.
"Games with judgment nature are often unfair confrontations.
"However, lawyers and doctors are not completely powerless to resist.
"Since there’s a juror verification phase in the game, I suspect that the detective and wealthy merchant might not be able to determine the authenticity or specific details of these pieces of evidence.
"Among the many pieces of evidence, they could indeed brainlessly choose favorable ones, but if these are verified as fake by the jurors or reveal information unfavorable to them, it could backfire.
"So they need to be careful when choosing evidence.
"Sometimes, they might face a dilemma: choosing between ’real but unfavorable’ and ’favorable but possibly fake’ evidence.
"Among these pieces of evidence, some might directly relate to the professional knowledge of lawyers and doctors. If they don’t understand, they might expose flaws after presenting the evidence, giving doctors and lawyers a chance to counterattack."
Zhang Yan shook his head slightly: "But still feels like something is off."
Ye Lin turned towards the back row: "By the way, speaking of Feng Yuguang, Qin Cheng, he’s the player you once identified in the ’Pain Game’, right?"
Qin Cheng nodded: "Yes, at that time he was with me and Uncle Zheng in the same area.
"His stance is quite wavering and can’t be regarded as a reliable ally.
"Brother Zhang was originally a player from Community 16, so he surely knows better than I do."
Zhang Yan nodded: "Yes, you guessed right.
"This match is too intense for him, he’s likely to reluctantly adopt defensive strategies.
"After all, the other three suspects all seem to be core players in the community, exuding confidence with every gesture."
Lu Qi couldn’t quite get a word in, and after waiting for the discussion to conclude, hurriedly asked: "So should we place bets?
"The game rules say that every audience member must bet at least 30,000 minutes of visa time, otherwise, 30,000 will be forcibly deducted when leaving the game.
"So we need to find an opportunity to place bets, did I understand correctly?"
Huang Shengjie thought for a moment: "How about putting all bets mindlessly on Lawyer Lin?"
Ye Lin paused to consider: "You need to factor in the changes in odds, each bet has different odds.
"Though the earlier you bet, the higher the odds, you also need to consider the frequency of the actors’ speeches and the number of bets placed on them.
"Theoretically, these odds could increase."
Huang Shengjie instantly realized: "Oh! Ye Lin, you’re saying that if Lawyer Lin keeps making frequent speeches in the game, then his percentage of speeches, that is, his role in the play, will continue to rise, and so will the odds;
"On the other hand, although each audience’s quota is 30,000, it can be split into multiple bets, and if other audiences frequently bet on others, then the percentage of bets placed on Lawyer Lin will drop, increasing the odds.
"So even if we decide to bet all 30,000 on Lawyer Lin at once, we need to choose a time with relatively high odds."
Ye Lin nodded: "Yes, check the current odds for Lawyer Lin and Tang Qing."
The group quickly operated on small screens and soon found out.
The odds were changing in real-time but had mostly stabilized.
Qin Cheng said: "Tang Qing is 2.4, Lawyer Lin is 2.1, Wang Yongxin is 1.9, Feng Yuguang is 2.2.
"With these odds...
"It seems to indicate that among mindless betting players, more people favor Lawyer Lin and Wang Yongxin."
Lu Qi didn’t quite understand: "Huh? How did you see that?"
Qin Cheng explained: "Odds are influenced by three factors, the first being the order of time, which we won’t discuss, as they’re all the same; the second, the more speeches, the higher the odds; the third, the fewer bets, the higher the odds.
"Judging by the current situation, players who speak more should be in the order of Tang Qing, Lawyer Lin, and Wang Yongxin, with Feng Yuguang speaking the least.
"Lawyer Lin and Wang Yongxin have significantly lower odds because more people are betting on them, which lowers the odds."
Huang Shengjie noticed a discrepancy: "Wait, doesn’t it seem more appropriate to bet 30,000 at once, no matter how we bet?
"Betting only 1,000 at a time means you need to bet 30 times to reach 30,000, and the more times you bet on the same person, the lower the odds.
"Yet many audiences still choose to bet multiple times."
Qin Cheng explained: "That’s normal because betting all 30,000 on one person at once actually carries significant risk.
"While spreading bets across multiple people lowers the odds, it also spreads out the risk, preventing a total loss all at once."
Ye Lin added: "The odds of this game shouldn’t drop below 1, so as long as the actors’ ’against votes’ don’t exceed half, whatever you bet will yield a positive return.
"So dispersed betting isn’t necessarily wrong, as long as the returns from winning bets cover the losses from losing bets.
"The four communities without actors don’t have fixed stances and may adopt this strategy when betting."
Huang Shengjie scratched his head: "Then what should we specifically do?"
Qin Cheng thought for a moment and suggested: "We should bet all 30,000 at once on Lawyer Lin, since it’s not just a game strategy issue but also a matter of trust among fellow community players.
"Still, we need to find the most suitable timing to strive for high odds."
After discussing among themselves, the group ultimately didn’t make any bets but chose to continue waiting.