Holy Roman Empire

165 Strategic Deception

London

From the beginning of the European arms race, the British government has expressed close attention and is well aware of the movements of various countries.

Foreign Minister Palmerston said eloquently: "After looking at the information we collected, the Austrian government's expansion of the army should be directed at the Ottoman Empire. Our plan to lead the disaster was successful.

Only now that something has changed, the Austrian government may have compromised with the Russians.If you want to provoke the Russian-Austrian conflict, you can't do it in a short time.

But there are too many conflicts of interest, and even the best relationship will be broken.From the moment Austria set foot on the Balkan Peninsula, it was doomed to the collapse of the Russian-Austrian alliance ... "

Prime Minister John Russell frowned and questioned: "Mr. Palmerston, the judgment I believe will sooner or later be ruined. But this time may be three years later, five years later, but it is definitely not the present .

Before the fall of their common enemy, the Ottoman Empire, Russia and Austria can still cooperate closely.

The seeds of hatred were planted hundreds of years ago, and neither the Russians nor the Austrians wanted to let the Ottoman Empire fall.

In addition to hatred, there are even more exciting benefits.The Russians took a fancy to the Black Sea Strait, and the Austrians took a fancy to the Danube river basin.

The Ottoman Empire was too weak and was stared at by two robbers.But we can't let them fall down now.

It doesn't matter that the Austrians conspired in the Danube Basin, but once the Black Sea straits fell into the hands of the Russians, we lost a lot.

I would not think that a Constantinople would satisfy the appetite of the tsarist government.They have held back their desires for so many years, and it is absolutely shocking to release them now.

Once the Ottoman Empire fell, the Austrians annexed at most half of the Balkans, and the Russians occupied the land along the Black Sea Strait.

At that time, not only will our interests in the Ottoman Empire not be guaranteed, but even the interests in the Mediterranean will be greatly affected, and even South Africa and India will be threatened by the Russians."

This is the key to the problem. The British need the Ottoman Empire to block the Russians.No one wants to be a neighbor with the Russians, and John Bull is no exception.

By letting the Russians embezzle the Ottoman Empire and mastering this central position across Asia, Europe and Africa, the situation is completely out of control.

Palmerston explained with a sullen face: "Your Excellency, the situation is not so bad. No European country wants to see the Russians grow bigger, this is the opportunity.

Whether Austria and the Russians have reached an agreement, where is the bottom line of both sides, is unknown.

But one thing is certain, the Austrians also do not want the Russians to be bigger.As an old neighbor, the threat of the Russians estimated their feelings more accurately.

Therefore, in this forthcoming war, most of them will only take advantage, and then sit on the hill and watch the tigers, killing the Ottoman Empire with a stick is not good for them.

The strength of the Ottoman Empire is not weak. As long as they can clearly distinguish the primary and secondary of the enemy and focus on defending against Russian attacks, they should be able to persist for a long time with our support.

During this period, we can join European countries such as France, Prussia, and Spain to intervene in this war."

This explanation is unsatisfactory. From the current situation, the foreign policy adopted by the London government has failed.

There is nothing wrong with leading Austria to the Balkan peninsula. The problem is that the unreasonable bear bear is going to break the game violently?

Looking at the time when the Russians were preparing for the war, everyone knew that this war was definitely not a trifle.Coupled with an Austria that wants to pick up cheap, if there is no external intervention, the chance of the Ottoman Empire resisting the past this time is infinitesimal.

The British have long known that the Russo-Turkish war is about to break out, not only do they know that all European countries have this ideological preparation.

The friendly match between the Russians and the Ottomans has been carried out many times. Everyone has figured out the rules. Basically, a generation has grown up and the two sides will have to play a match.

This kind of friendly game is not a decisive battle every time.In many cases, it is a local war. You can start an excuse with just one excuse. When the fight is almost complete, you can stop the war.

This can be seen from the preparation time. In general, the more fully prepared, the more intense the war.

Since the second half of 1849, the Russians have been preparing, and there are no signs of launching. The scale of this war is already imaginable.

Against this background, the introduction of Austria into the Balkan Peninsula naturally exacerbated this confusion.If Russia-Austria confrontation is fine, if Russia-Austria team up, God will not save the Ottoman Empire.

Palmerston naturally had a headache. Knowing that such a situation would occur, he was too lazy to control the Kingdom of Sardinia, making Austria unable to extricate himself in the quagmire of Italy.

Then the situation is much better now. Austria, which has no energy to expand abroad, is definitely a vanguard against Russian expansion.

This is an inevitable result. If no benefits can be obtained, Franz will also oppose the continued expansion of the Russian power.

Not because of jealousy, but because of national strategic needs.The reason for this trade-off is that everyone understands that the Russians are stronger, which naturally means that Austria is relatively declining.

John Russell thought for a while and said: "The Ministry of Foreign Affairs can start now. In case Russia and Austria team up to fight against the Ottoman Empire, they will not be able to hold on for long."

At this time, the British were not prepared to go shirtless.As for their pocket army, they will be swallowed up by the war soon.

The key is that the gold medalist French has not yet returned. Now that Napoleon III has not been restored, the parliament and the president are still in battle.

The heavily infighting French government has no weight in speaking internationally.The promises made by the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs are also difficult.

...

Paris

International change is a disaster for many people, but for Louis Napoleon Bonaparte, this is an opportunity.

The British needed a stable French government to play a role in the subsequent Russo-Turkish war and suppress the Russian ambitions.

At this time, besides supporting him, is there a better choice?

Can't you support the parliament?Their efficiency is not comparable to a dictator.

The restoration plan has been born in the Napoleonic school, and only a suitable opportunity can be launched.

As for the issue of Austrian military expansion and war preparation, like the British, Louis Napoleon Bonaparte also believed that Austria was heading towards the Balkan Peninsula.

In order to induce misjudgments in the strategies of various countries, the Austrian government is not alone.

Sending spies to the Balkans was caught by the Ottoman Empire. This is just a trick.The soldiers were only regular operations at the junction of Austria and the Ottoman Empire.

Austrian public opinion also turned over the old accounts of the Ottoman Empire.The Balkan strategy formulated by the military has been brought out for discussion.

If you do not know that Austria is preparing to avenge the Ottomans, it must not be Austrians.

There are also various strategic materials that are constantly being shipped to Transylvania for storage. It seems that with only one excuse, Austria is about to send troops to the Danube Basin.

Fraud deceive yourself first. Franz still understands this. Everyone believes it. Are you afraid that the enemy will not believe it?

Except for the members of the Austrian cabinet, only a few high-ranking generals in the military know the real purpose of the government. Most Austrians believe that the government is going to fight the Ottoman Empire.

Many official media have made a solid analysis. The Russo-Turkish war is about to erupt. Austria will just pick up the bargain, and it will be possible to occupy the Danube without paying too much.

After this series of actions, Britain and France naturally think that Austria is about to start on the Balkan Peninsula.

The westward plan was completely covered up.The only action is probably the sudden acceleration of the domestic railway construction.

Even the railroads that Bavaria is presiding over have more enthusiastic people in society to provide them with convenience.

Many people are still urging the Royal Bavarian Railway Company to speed up, so as not to delay them in making money.

Austria's strategic deception plan not only deceived Britain and France, but also deceived the Prussians.When it was determined that Austria ’s target was the Balkans, Frederick William IV was supposed to do more than show envy and jealousy.

There is no way. Russia and Austria start with the Ottoman Empire, and no matter how envious they are, it is impossible for them to run over and share a slice of soup.

Geopolitics determines the interests of the Ottoman Empire and has nothing to do with the Kingdom of Prussia.In this case, the Austrians will go with them if they want to expand their troops.Anyway, there is no self-interest, and the Kingdom of Prussia is naturally unnecessary to follow up.

Not only were several powers fooled, but even the Swiss who had been worried for a long time were relieved to make sure that the Austrians were not directed at them. The life and death of the Ottomans were not their business.

Under the publicity of the media, the news that Russia and Austria are preparing to find the sullen Ottoman Empire is well known.

It's nothing to do with yourself, hang high.European people have turned into melon-eating people, waiting for the opening of the show.