Holy Roman Empire

Chapter 563 British calculation

On May 20, 1874, the tsarist government declared war on Poland. In the afternoon, the Russian army crossed the border and launched an attack on the Kingdom of Poland. The Russian-Polish war broke out again.

From the conflict between Russia and Poland to less than a week before and after the outbreak of war, this efficiency refreshed Franz's understanding of the tsarist government.

The achievements of Alexander II ’s reforms have already been reflected in efficiency. According to the past efficiency of the Tsarist government, it has not been possible for a few months.

The sudden Russian-Polish war killed many people.European governments have no time to react, and the war has already begun.

In London, Prime Minister Gerston only felt exhausted.While busy with the general elections in the country and concerned about the changing situation in Europe, even the Irish issue has been postponed.

"The War in the Near East continues, and the Russians provoke a war against the Poles again. Did they forget the lesson of the last multi-line battle failure so quickly, who can tell me what happened in the middle?

With rich political experience, Prime Minister Gerston can be sure that the Russian-Polish war was definitely not caused by a conflict.Over the years, the conflicts between Russia and Poland have exceeded three figures, but this time the war broke out.

Looking at the Russians' rapid actions, it is clear that they have been premeditated.The Near East War distracted Britain, and the London government directly believed that the Russians were preparing for the Ottoman Empire.

For this reason, the British are still trying to find ways to keep the Ottoman Empire.Don't worry now, the tsarist government provoked the Russian-Polish war, and no more energy was devoted to the Near East War.

Foreign Minister McLean: "My Excellency, according to the information we have collected, this time the Poles are in great trouble.

The Berlin government was not active in sending troops to rescue the Kingdom of Poland. No troops were sent after the war broke out, and even military mobilization was very slow.

The election of the Polish throne is imminent, and the support of William I is very high. Under normal circumstances, the election is stable.

The biggest obstacle is the current Polish government. There are certain signs that the Polish government is prepared to take abnormal measures to intervene in the elections and kick William I out.

It is not surprising that the Prussians were ambitious about Poland, resorted to borrowing a knife to kill people, and ousted the Polish government in advance.

From the analysis of the current situation, the two countries should have reached a deal in secret.The Vienna government has not acted yet, and what role they have played in it, we cannot yet make an accurate judgment.

By the way, Prussian diplomats have been very active recently and have met frequently with high-level European countries.Just three days ago, the Prussian Minister in London and I also passed in depth on the Polish issue.

In order to counter the threat of the Russians, they wanted to form a Prussia-Polish Federation, and they also sought our support.

If there is no accident, the Prussians also had contact with France and Austria, and they did not know whether they had reached a deal."

Prime Minister Gerston nodded, and this explanation was right.The Russo-Polish war broke out suddenly, and it would be completely unreasonable to say that the two countries did not notice in advance.

If there is a collusion between Russia and Russia in secret, then everything is clear.The Prussians helped cover the tsarist government and created conditions for the Russian army to attack Poland. It is not surprising that the Polish government was kept in the dark.

Unlike other governments, the Polish government is a hodgepodge, and almost every power has buried nails in it.

The Kingdom of Prussia is the strongest in Poland, and many people have been bought by the Dublin government.Coupled with the Polish government's own death, and the military's momentum, it is too easy to intercept part of the intelligence.

Prime Minister Gerston frowned: "If the Austrians are involved, it will be the fourth time that Russia has divided Poland.

This is not a good phenomenon. Let them continue. I am afraid there will be few countries left in the continent.

If Austria does not participate, then what are the interests of Pu and Russia in exchange for the default of the Vienna government?

Similarly, the Berlin government promised the French many benefits in exchange for the support of the Paris government, or the Prussians did not receive their support.

These issues must be clarified. I do n’t think that without the understanding between France and Austria, the two countries will be able to divide the Kingdom of Poland in private.

The benefits of being able to buy off France and Austria are definitely not small. Both Russia and Russia are poor ghosts. The industry and economic strength are very common. The promise should not be economic.

In any case, they will not be allowed to reach a deal, otherwise the two countries will be completely enlarged."

British foreign policy has always followed interests, and when analyzing problems, a large number of interest factors are also involved.

With this set of analysis methods, many obscure issues are clear, and you can know many things by directly tracing the benefits.

The strategy of a great power cannot be concealed at all. What about countless eyes?However, no country can have only one set of strategies. Among many strategies, there are also major and minor ones, and this order still changes with changes in the international situation.

Currently recognized by European countries: the French ’s most important strategy is to digest the Italian region, followed by expansion into the Central European region, and to seize the territory west of the Rhine.

The most important strategy of Austria is to unify the German region, mainly to unify the German Federal Empire with high popular support, followed by the expansion to the Ottoman Empire.

Because of the mutual restraint of European countries, the French ’s second strategy cannot be implemented, and the most important strategy on Austria ’s bright side cannot be carried forward either.

However, once the two countries reached a compromise, and the two countries would acquiesce in their actions, the situation would be completely different, and the remaining countries would not be able to do so.

Chancellor of the Exchequer, Laluk Royd: "The situation is not so bad. If that is the case, the two countries will have a showdown.

Obviously, neither France nor Austria is ready for war.At least until the clearance is completed, I don't think they will have a war.

Of course, in order to avoid this from happening, I feel it necessary to strengthen the strength of the German Federal Empire.

If the Prussians want to annex Poland, let them abandon the Rhineland region.Anyway, it was an enclave for Prussia, and it was also watched by the French.

Rather than leaving it to the French to increase their strength, it is better to throw it to the German Federal Empire, when the two countries can only contain each other."

This is a conspiracy. Now the French Empire is in full swing. As their neighbors, there is tragedy, and the pressure on national defense has increased greatly.

The Rhineland region is just an enclave. In the case of the enemy of the Russian Empire in the east, once the French decided to proceed, the Kingdom of Prussia was simply unable to resist.

Since it can't be maintained, the status of the Rhineland region in the heart of the Berlin government has greatly declined, in exchange for annexing the Kingdom of Poland, it is estimated that many people will agree.

The British were also unwilling to give the Rhineland region to the German Federal Empire.Once the Rhineland region was merged into the German Confederation, France and Austria could only contain each other forever.

Even if the Vienna government wanted to compromise and share the enlarged version of the German Federal Empire with the French, the German people would not agree!

Nationalism determined that once the French had the idea of ​​the Rhineland, Austria must stand on the stand of the German Confederation, and the Vienna government did not dare to make concessions.

Conversely, if Austria wants to annex the German Federal Empire, the French cannot agree.How to guarantee the strategic security of France by extending Austrian power to the west of the Rhine?

Unless one party falls, the other party's purpose is possible.In this context, the British can play a balance between France and Austria.

Whether France and Austria will have a problem of imbalance in power is the future.The London government ’s foreign policy has always focused on the present rather than chasing the illusory future.

No one can guarantee what will happen after decades or hundreds of years.Today is an ally, and tomorrow may be an enemy. The day after tomorrow, it may become an ally. The diplomatic plan is simply a joke.

Prime Minister Gerston: "This question is not urgent. We first leaked the information to the German Confederation. If they want to obtain the Rhineland region, they must also pay the price.

After getting the Rhineland region, the strength of the German Federation has greatly increased, and it is also a powerful country after Spain in continental Europe.

We have to work hard to persuade the Prussians for them, and we must even out the French. They can't pay anything at all!"

In a short time, Prime Minister Gerston made a judgment.The Prussians are very likely to abandon the Rhineland region, which means they can get rid of the French threat.

As for the losses, the German Federal Empire can make up for it.The German Federal Empire is almost all the richest region in Germany, with much stronger finances than the Berlin government, and selling a good price is not a problem.

With this money, many problems have been solved.In the next Russian-Russian war, the Kingdom of Prussia will no longer have no chance of winning.

As a broker, Britain can also draw a political benefit from it and expand its influence in the German Federation.

...

What happened inside the London government was naturally unknown to the outside world, and everyone was attracted by the war.

The Near East War and the Pubo War broke out at the same time, and everyone was waiting for the reaction of Pu and Austria.Many people are speculating whether the European continent will trigger a full-scale war.

Prussia, Poland, and the Ottoman Empire can be regarded as allies, and they have only a treaty on the issue of confrontation with the Russians.

Russia and Austria are also allies. In theory, the Tsarist government now has the opportunity to pull Austria into the water.Once a full-scale war broke out between the two sides, Pupo + Ottoman will definitely not beat Russia + Austria, then they can only pull people into the water.

At this point, the fantasy should be over.On May 23, 1874, the Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated its position: The Government of Vienna is absolutely neutral in the Pubol War.

At this point, everyone can rest assured that the so-called European Continental War does not exist, and small countries do not have to worry about standing in line.

Ankara, the decision of the Vienna government disappointed Abdulaziz I. He originally expected the outbreak of the European War to share their military pressure.

No need to think about it now. European countries are not stupid. Who wants to fight without interest?The Vienna government remained neutral in the Russo-Polish war, which did not surprise everyone.

It is very difficult to carry out territorial expansion on the European continent, the legal basis is the biggest problem.Austria has no legal basis for Poland, and land occupation is simply not legal.

This is not the same as expanding in the Balkan peninsula. Grabbing land from the Ottoman Empire does not require worrying about legal issues or condemnation by public opinion.The government of Vienna has won the title of "liberator", not an aggressor.

Robbing Poland is different. Although the big pop is not very popular, it is also a sovereign country that everyone recognizes. It is aggression to grab the territory of the Kingdom of Poland.

Unable to seize territory, the Polish government clanked so poorly that even the military expenses could not be recovered during the war. It is normal for Austria to have no interest in the Polish region.