Holy Roman Empire
Chapter 646 The dissolution of the Russian-Austrian alliance
Diplomatic teams are sometimes very simple. Since the British decided to support Chile, Peru and Bolivia can only seek support from Faw.
International trade is only a small problem. The volume of South American countries is very small this year. If it is not rich in resources and needs to promote currency hegemony, the powers will not pay attention to them at all.
Looking at the population of each country, Chile has about 2.2 million, Peru has about 2.75 million, and Bolivia has about 1.3 million.
With just a few people, all of them are agricultural nations, and it is obviously impossible to expect a large internal market.
Chile is relatively wealthy, mainly relying on saltpetre exports, and its military strength is the most powerful among the three countries.
There is silver in Peru, but unfortunately the price of silver has fallen year by year and the wallet of the Peruvian government has also shrivelled.
Bolivia is arguably the worst. The saltpetre mine was finally discovered. Only a few years later, the war broke out.
There is no doubt that the three countries are unable to provide huge amounts of war funds at once, and loans are inevitable.
At the Vienna Palace, Franz was approving a special loan, and the debtor was very generous with the Atacama desert mineral as a mortgage.
"From the current situation, how likely are Peru and Bolivia to win the war?"
Chief of Staff Albrecht: "Simply from the analysis of military strength on paper, the General Staff conducted a quantitative analysis based on factors such as the number of armies, weapons and equipment, training of the three countries, past records, and logistics support capabilities.
The military strengths of the three countries are: Bolivia 1, Peru 1.8, and Chile 2.1.
In theory, Bolivia and Peru have an absolute advantage; however, most of the time on the battlefield now, the Chilean army is pressing Peru and Bolivia to fight.
Bolivia and Peru, which have military advantages, have only nominally united. There is no cooperation on the battlefield, and sometimes they fall behind each other.
If the coordination of the Peruvian and Bolivian troops is not resolved, they will not be able to win this war by more than half the time."
This is a common issue of all joint operations. Bolivia, Peru, and Chile have all sworn sovereignty over the Atacama Desert.
Now that Bolivia and Peru are united, it does not mean that the territorial dispute between the two countries has disappeared. It is only because of the common enemy Chile that they are forced to unite.
Against this background, it is normal to stab each other on the battlefield.
Franz: "Tell the Bolivian people that we are not interested in the saltpetre in the Atacama desert and let them take out other collateral.
If there is no suitable collateral, we can mortgage our domestic minerals, gold, silver, copper, iron, oil, natural gas can be considered."
Not optimistic about Bolivia winning the war, nor does it prevent Austria from supporting Bolivia in this war.Just linking "Boliviano" to Aegis is worth standing behind Austria.
If the minerals of the Atacama Desert were not taken into consideration, the Chileans had promised them to the British, and Austria could not compete with John Bull in South America. Franz may have sent people to the past.
Of course, the most critical thing is not enough interest.Although the Atacama Desert is the world's largest producer of saltpetre, it does not mean that there is no saltpetre anywhere else, and there is also artificial nitrate production.
Originally, Franz was preparing to pull Peru onto the ship, but unfortunately the French took the lead.The time for Austrian tentacles to penetrate South America is too short, and its influence is still too weak.
If it were not because Chile and Peru were the first to embrace the thighs of Britain and France, Franz doubted that Bolivia would not necessarily choose Austria.
The Chancellor of the Exchequer Carl reminded: "Your Majesty, the precious metal mine in Bolivia has long been mortgaged.
Although many common mines such as copper and iron have been discovered, they have no development value.Oil and natural gas are both new energy industries. Whether Bolivia is an unknown number.
If these mortgages are to be taken, the risk of loans will increase greatly, and domestic banks may not necessarily accept them."
Franz realized that Bolivia's industrial strength is limited, not to mention heavy industry, which is infinitely close to zero.
It cannot be smelted on the spot, and the developed ore must be shipped out for sale. Due to the traffic conditions of this era, these minerals naturally lost their economic value.
It is needless to say that oil and gas have just begun to be used. The importance has not been seen at all. Naturally, no one has spent a lot of money to explore.
After thinking about it, Franz found that these things were really not useful for a short time.It may not even be used in a hundred years, and the layout in advance is completely nonsense.
Austria has declared neutrality in the war. This time, loans to Bolivia are naturally carried out in the form of private commercial loans. The government only charges a contract to fulfill the guarantee fee.
Judging from the current situation, the Bolivian government is very unlikely to win the war. Most of them will follow the original time and space. If they lose the war, they will naturally have no money to pay their debts.
If the collateral has no value, the private bank may not buy it.Wouldn't it be embarrassing if the government negotiated the conditions and there was no bank willing to lend in the end?
After awakening, Franz didn't feel embarrassed, and immediately changed his mouth: "Since the precious metal mine is gone, these latter things can only be regarded as the first to let the Bolivian government take out other things to mortgage."
No collateral?This is impossible.Anyway, it is also a country. How could it not be possible to have a family?It really doesn't work, there is no land.
"Don't pay," let alone worry.It is still the 19th century, and more than one armed debt collection has happened.Unless it is the Big Mac of the Russians, the cost of debt collection is too high, and everyone can only admit it.
...
Foreign Minister Weissenberg: "Your Majesty, our covenant with the Russians expires in only three months. The negotiators already sent by the tsarist government have arrived in Vienna."
Whether to come to the Russian-Austrian League again, the Vienna government is also divided.Including Franz, the position was shaken several times.
It's not that everyone's will is not firm, but in the final analysis, it's still interest.Whether it is to continue to form an alliance or to give up the alliance, there are a lot of benefits in it.
After so many years, the economies of Russia and Austria have been essentially tied together.Austria imports industrial raw materials from Russia, processes them into products and sells them back to the Russian Empire.
Since 1854, Russia and Austria have been each other's most important economic partners.At its peak, trade with Russia once occupied two-thirds of Austria's total foreign trade.
With the rapid development of the Austrian economy, Austrian industrial and commercial products continue to open up new markets, this number began to decline year by year.
Even now, trade with Russia is still the most important part of Austria ’s foreign trade, accounting for 29.7% of Austria ’s total import and export trade.
If it is not that the Russian economy has not kept pace and the domestic market is growing too slowly, this proportion will be even greater.
There is no doubt that the Russian-Austrian alliance has made important contributions to the economic exchanges between the two countries and promoted trade between the two countries.
There are advantages and disadvantages, and the Russian-Austrian alliance also restricts Austria's expansion.For example, during the Russian-Russian war, the Vienna government lost the opportunity to take advantage of the tsarist government.
Restricting further expansion is only a minor issue.The European continent is not large, and the expansion will not expand much, but a lot of trouble.
The main problem is the international image, the Russians are too hatred.The existence of the Russian-Austrian League made Austria share the pressure.
This leaves the Vienna government, which has always been good at flexible diplomacy, torn up, and often has no room for it.
The economic gains are not in vain. Austria is also the biggest creditor of the Russians.
It's just a matter of borrowing money, but the Tsarist government has a bad reputation.From time to time, it is not possible to perform the contract normally, and many Austrian debts have been lost.
It is absolutely the most hatred to pay the debt.The Austrian financial community is a staunch anti-Russian faction, and even has a bad impression of the Russians.
In agriculture, the two countries are in a state of competition.For the Russians, competitors who undermine market conditions, farmers in Austria are deeply disgusted.
Austrian peasants are not rural peasants without a voice, and a large number of them are nobles.These people are all victims of the alienation policy of Alexander II, and naturally hate the tsarist government.
Franz asked expressionlessly: "Do you think we still need to renew the contract now?"
History seems to be repeating itself. The German and German empire in time, space and time had broken out with the Russians because of agricultural friction, and Austria is similar now.
Of course, there are differences. In addition to the anti-Russian and peasant anti-Russia, the financial sector is also hostile to the Russians because of debt problems. Only the domestic business community supports the renewal of the contract.
In a similar position, Franz understood somewhat that William II had alienated Russia's foreign policy.
In the face of interests, it is not possible to make up for personal strength, and the emperor must also consider the position of the domestic people and cannot be opposed to most people.
Prime Minister Felix pointedly said: "Continuing to renew the contract has a little effect in the economy and is strategically worthless!"
Secretary of Agriculture Halls: "The economic value is not great. Now is the era of free trade, and the tariff advantages we originally had no longer exist.
Even without the Russian-Austrian alliance, at most it would reduce the purchase of part of the tsarist government, with minimal impact.
After so many years of hard work, many aspects of Russian industry have to rely on us. Even if the tsarist government wants to kick us away, it depends on whether they can bear the loss."
This is the main reason why the Vienna government is fearless.Austrian industry has a self-contained system, and it adopts different standards from English and French, and it is completely unsuitable.
Russian industry was deeply influenced by Austria from the beginning. The capitalists were greedy for cheap and directly adopted Austrian standards.
The adoption of Austrian standards is not a big deal. The key is that Russian industry has not formed a complete industrial system, and machinery and equipment rely on imports from Austria.
Withdrawing now means that most of the industrial equipment in this area will be scrapped, and this loss is simply not acceptable to the tsarist government.