Reborn multinational giant

“What do you think? Fang Zhe is the only true prophet on the scene (domestic Internet industry). No doubt, all werewolves (Internet industry) cannot escape Fang Zhe's investigation!"

The answer to the most praises is the short sentence that was taken to the top by countless werewolf lovers.

“The phrase of the wealthiest party has been very straightforward. Any industry will become saturated or bottlenecked after many years of development. The difference is that small industries may become saturated in a few years, and large industries will not become saturated for more than a decade or decades.

Such saturation is not entirely inconsistent with growth, but may also be extremely slow or declining.

At this time, resources and markets in the industry cannot satisfy several large companies at the same time to grow or even survive. Competition in the industry will intensify and get caught up in the internal volume. The end result is basically the weak companies will collapse, break down or be merged, leaving only one or two companies to survive.

For the Internet industry, it takes about 10 years for a company or industry to grow to full maturity.

So by around 2008, the domestic Internet industry had actually entered the initial internal volume. You can look back at the history and find that the three BAT Internet giants, who had developed in about 89 years, were all stepping into each other's fields, because they were not motivated to grow in their own fields.

Fortunately, the emergence of the mobile internet at that time gave everyone a new market and racetrack, and the three families were busy exploring the mobile internet and lowering the competition among themselves.

However, by now, the mobile Internet has also developed in China for six or seven years, and has reached the second half. In the next few years, the mainstream racetracks and companies in the industry will basically mature, and they will be listed. Competition and internal volumes in the entire industry will also intensify. Major companies will also frequently explore new racetracks and fields, or intervene in each other's core business areas.

In addition, fierce competition and market expansion means such as money burning subsidies will accelerate the maturation and internalization of the industry, so we see that the quick and happy time mentioned by Fang Fu (money burning accelerates the maturity of the industry), 58 the same city and catch-up network (both have developed for about 10 years, the industry is saturated), Ctrip and where to go, Yilong (Ctrip and Yilong were founded for 15 years, wherever they were founded for about 10 years), Meituan and the public reviews (founded for more than 10 years) are basically similar situations, leading to the widespread occurrence of corporate mergers or mergers.

According to this theory, we can learn from the richest learners to make prophecies, such as the most popular bicycle sharing industry today.

It would have been normal for the industry to mature completely for about 10 years, and in this long time to carefully figure out the operating mode and business model, but now because the air vents are too hot, all the capital has entered the field, and there has been a tendency to be fuelled by seedlings.

So I predict that within about 5 years, there will be a lot of bankruptcy, bankruptcy, and even after the third place, the company will be brought together by BAT, even Meituan, to travel quickly and safely. Because the reason why the business model and operating model have not been figured out, the top players in the industry will also be in the trouble of losing money and drinking. If there is no big business to take over, we can only struggle hard! "

Likes the number two online friend, after a meal of analysis also learned the theory of the wealthiest party, made his own prophecy to share a bike with one of the hottest entrepreneurial styles of the moment.

Seeing so many likes, it is obvious that many online friends agree with his view, and of course, there are a lot of rebuttal voices underneath the comments of his answer.

“The layers are so sour, the business model of sharing a bicycle, President Zhu of the Kinshasa River has long argued, so many venture capital and capital pursuit, do you think those capital are idiots? And there are rumors in the market, even your bragging party's wealthiest crowd winning capital, borrowed a fund called Oriental Grandeur to invest in the leader of this field ofo and second place Mobai!"

“Agreeing that upstairs, ofo loyal users said it was really super convenient to share a bike once it came out, and now I have a monthly card to ride every day from work. ”

“Convenience is convenience, but the more bad cars come, it's still quite laborious to find a good car, and I read online news, many people put ofo in private lock or throw it away, it's pretty fucked up, I feel ofo bicycle breakage rate is very high. ”

“The crowd-winning capital investment ofo is not in conflict with the prophecy of the layer owner. The layer owner also said that the end of sharing a bicycle giant is likely to be the selling of a large factory or struggling by itself. To be clear, the Internet industry in China is now the back garden of the giant. If the fruit of all the growing Internet enterprises is not too hard, they will basically have to be cut by such giants.

Because the industry in which giants are located has also become entangled, in order to maintain growth in their size, many enterprises like ofo need to contribute as leeks. ”

Apart from the above two answers, which are still a serious answer, there are also a lot of people who like various or weird or a serious answer.

“Never mind what I think, I just want to say that Brother, you have the guts to list all the titles of Fang Zhe, the founder of the crowd-winning capital, the founder of Alipay, the deputy of the National People's Congress (Anhe Province), the top 50 most influential business leaders in China, Forbes 2014 China Charity List No. 1.....

I just wanted to say, "You don't even have enough 200. How can you be so embarrassed to ask questions?"

“Upstairs is too demanding on the subject, I think Fang Zheouba's most important title is my old man!" "Agree!" "Sisters support you!" "Top sisters go up. ”

“We really have more and more talents at ANGO University. We are going to Yanda for literature, Hua Qing for research, and the People's Congress for politics. We only want to start a business and make small money. Come to ANGO University!"

“In the order of prophecy, there will be stories that cannot be said about travel and where to go, stories that cannot be said by Meituan and the public. ”

Anyang Polytechnic University's student's question was enough to hang on the hot list for two or three days. In these two or three days, countless internet friends held various discussions around this question and Fang Zhe's prophecy. Instead, it triggered this question and the hot spot of Ctrip and Yilong's merger and acquisition. Few people cared and paid attention.

With regard to these online disturbances, Fang Zhe is not very concerned about this party, and he has no mind or energy to pay attention. Fang Zhe's current mind is on one thing. It is that the leader of India, Morty, will come and visit the crowd tomorrow!

This morning, Morty's plane arrived in Chang 'an, a historic city in central China. This was Morty's first visit to China after serving as India's leader, and three years later, Fang Zhe will meet Morty again.