Red Alert Somalia

ps: Wan Geng asks for recommended tickets and monthly tickets.

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Two months later, monitoring missions from more than 20 countries all over the world arrived in Ethiopia’s ethnic states. With the security of the UN peacekeeping force and the Somali army, the referendum concerning the future of Ethiopia was launched as scheduled.

The voting mechanism is also very simple. Ethiopia has a total population of 98.8 million, and referendums are held in accordance with the number of people on each continent.Only when the voting rate exceeds half, and there is an inevitable result, and the entire supervision team has no fraud during the development period, the referendum result will be confirmed as valid.

The referendum has already been publicized two months in advance. Basically, people of all ethnic groups who are concerned about the future of their country are looking forward to today.

The referendum points set up in the cities of every major state, after the referendum officially started at 8 o'clock in the morning, immediately gathered a large number of people who came to vote.Every citizen who has reached the age of eighteen and holds the identity card of the former Ethiopian government has the right to vote. As long as a family meets this rule, they can vote.

For one week in a row, all the polling places were very lively, and the bustle continued. During the half-month-long voting period, the voting work in every major state was basically carried out.

In the past two months, two local votes have produced results, Addis Ababa and Harar State, of which Harar State has a population of less than 200,000, and a total of 70,000 copies have been received. Referendum.After the voting is announced, it is under the supervision of the supervision team.The results of the vote count are very disappointing to NATO. Of all the votes, more than 90% of people are willing to join Somalia. In addition, 8% of the votes chose to give up, and 2% They chose to form a new Ethiopian government.

This is the first continent to produce results, and the second polling place to produce results is Addis Ababa. Today Addis Ababa has a population of more than three million.The result is still very disappointing to NATO. Although the turnout rate is very high, most of the people who voted are Oromo people, and the percentage of people who agreed to be incorporated into Somalia reached an incredible 92%. The approval rate is only 3%.Another 5% of valid votes were chosen to give up.

The first two consecutive places that produced results all supported the integration of Somalia, which made NATO very miscalculated.Even if they have thought that with Muratou, the Oromo will definitely stand with Somalia.However, they never expected that the approval rate would be so high. If it were not for the voting process, the whole city would be under their supervision. They would never believe such a result.

Fortunately.NATO is not without a chance, and the opportunity comes quickly.Afar and Tigray, two state capitals that have been almost occupied by Eritrea, are the third and fourth places to produce results.These two ethnic states are both tribes that have a good relationship with the Amharic people, and there are also a large number of Amharic people living in them, so the result of the referendum, as expected by NATO, more than half of the referendum is Choose to establish a new Ethiopian regime.

However, although the results were as expected, NATO was not happy, because the two previous results produced an incredible 90% support for the integration of Somalia, and the subsequent results in these two states did not exceed expectations. , But the support rate for the establishment of a new Ethiopian government barely reached 55%.They made judgments high and did not understand why so many people still chose to stand with Somalia in the face of the result of a war that could be called aggression.

In fact, NATO is not clear about two points. One of them is how high Muratu’s support rate in Ethiopia was, and why the fact that Muratu would turn his face with the Gilma government at the time has long been spread. Over the past few months, Mulatul has been calling on, and on the other side, only a new Amharic patriarch who has just been elected has stood up and shouted.Whether it is prestige or appeal, it is simply incomparable.

Even if they repeatedly preached Murat's treason, the facts tell all Ethiopians that everything Murat said has come true, and the choice is not wrong.Therefore, despite all kinds of negative news, there is still no way to reverse the claim in the hearts of most Ethiopians.

Another aspect of NATO’s miscalculations is the chain of relations between the various ethnic groups of Africans. Although there are still deep ethnic habits among the various ethnic groups in Africa, once a conflict breaks out, it is basically an endless situation, but this habit is still There is another characteristic, and that is the trust in the chain of fraternal nations.

The relationship between the Somali and the Oromo is very good, and the relationship with the small tribes in the southern states is even closer because their beliefs are firm.Even if it is the primitive religions believed by the tribes, many cultures and customs have been integrated between the two parties, which is definitely not comparable to Christianity, which has just entered for hundreds of years.Of course, it is undeniable that there are still many people who believe in Christianity, but between doctrine and tribal justice, they value the decisions of the tribe as a whole.

This also makes that once the elders and chiefs of the tribe convene a meeting and make a decision, the men and women of the whole tribe will be in harmony.This is a custom that has been preserved for thousands of years. Whether it is the period of slavery for more than two thousand years or the invasion of foreign cultures in modern society, it has not changed the rules of racial reproduction that united them.

And this custom was quickly revealed to NATO. The fifth continent with results was Gambela State, which has a population of only about 250,000 and is mixed with Amharic and Gambela. Therefore, the result is naturally inclined to establish a new Ethiopian government.

The fifth result is five to three. In many people’s eyes, NATO should be a happy result. However, no one at NATO can be happy because they know that the 8 million Somali must support Somalia. Joining Somalia with the southern ethnic states, plus the Oromia in Oromia state, they have actually seen the result.

Just as they saw the result that Amhara State would also support the establishment of a new Ethiopian regime, by the fifth result, everything was clear.

The reason why I persisted to the end was just a little thought of looking forward to a miracle.The miracle naturally did not happen. The result of the entire referendum was that five states and one metropolitan area agreed to join Somalia. According to statistics from these six referendum regions, the overall support rate reached 85%, with more than 10%. Of people chose to give up, and another five percent chose to establish their own new regime.The total population of these six regions is about 50 million. There should have been more than 40 million referendums, but the actual number of votes was 30 million. As a result, the Ethiopian referendum monitoring group specially established by countries around the world was declared effective. .

In the other four ethnic states, the total population is close to 50 million, and there are almost 40 million referendums. The actual number of voters is more than 20 million. The final overall statistics show that 56% of the people asked for the establishment of new In the Ethiopian government, 25% of the people chose to give up, and the remaining votes are votes for the integration of Somalia.

During the referendum, many people also stood up and held demonstrations at the referendum point, demanding to stop this rude referendum that divided Ethiopia into two, declaring that this was not what the Ethiopians wanted. What they wanted was to control their own. fate.

Although this voice has received the support of some civilized youths, their wrists are weak, and Ethiopia is not a highly civilized society. The idea of ​​tribal interests is higher than the sovereignty of national interests.

If it is in other countries, such a call may have a great effect, but there is no way here.For a poor country and nation, having a better way out is the most common idea among all ethnic groups.

Moreover, the slogan that national sovereignty interests are above everything else is not suitable for most countries in Africa, especially the lower reaches of the Nile in Central and North Africa. This concept has never been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.This can be easily seen from the fact that they still maintain the habits of tribal life.

But no matter what, the result of this referendum is valid, and that is the result.Countries do not care about this. After all, in their view, this is the result of a relaxation of relations between Somalia and NATO, and they hope to see a result that can satisfy both parties.

NATO naturally has nothing to be dissatisfied with this kind of result. As early as when Li Lan was promised, NATO discussed it up and down. In the hypothetical deduction, such a result has a probability of more than 65%. Now it is just a guess that comes true. That's it, anyway, they are all prepared.

And Li Lan is naturally satisfied, because this is the result he wants, and everything that follows is naturally his own business. He will not interfere in how NATO supports the four states to form governments, and NATO cannot interfere in Somalia. Policies implemented in these six states.

In addition, the two sides have many interests involved in the Ethiopian issue. In fact, it is not only NATO. Many countries have interests in Ethiopia. The members of the 20-nation supervisory group not only come to witness the fairness of the referendum, but also Come to ask both sides for their original interests in Ethiopia.

In this regard, Li Lan has already figured out a solution, and NATO naturally takes back his share before it is possible to take care of other countries.And this also requires the follow-up issues between Somalia and NATO to be clear.After all, it is the same thing for Li Lan to negotiate with Obama, but it is the same thing when it comes to a resolution.