"What's going on, Eye?What's a futures deal? Do I need to buy more rice? "
We need money to make it easier to run mutual aid associations and the like.
That's why Eye asked me to buy rice.
But how much money does that make?
Because the season is already summer.
And in Orient Country, I've heard that it's likely to be quite productive because it incorporates the Balkan rice spread by the Balkan mercenaries and their good cultivation methods.
In the first place, we needed to make magical tools and the salt damage to the land has finally settled down, so we haven't been able to get much attention to agriculture yet.
Therefore, I originally planned to buy rice, so I checked carefully that I couldn't make it this year from the manufacturing stage.
Even if I was asked to buy rice now, I was going to buy it in the first place, and would I be able to make money from it?
"The important thing is to buy rice now, Alphonse."
"Hmm? What do you mean? If you're buying rice, isn't it because the rice can be harvested properly?"
"No, it's not about buying real rice.Make an agreement to buy first without it. "
"... does that make any sense?"
"Yes, farmers and traders will think this year is a productive year.What do you think would happen to the price of rice if you could produce as much rice as you expected? "
"Well, you can do a lot of rice.Maybe it will be sold cheaper than before because I think it can be harvested more than ever, combined with the effect of [soil improvement] and the high efficiency of barca rice harvesting. "
"That's right. Crops tend to be cheaper if they're basically abundant, and higher if they're not.Depending on the amount of taxes paid to the country, many farmers and traders should think the price of rice will fall this year. "
"Hmm. So, Eye wants to tell you to buy the rice before it's ready.Is that supposed to be a contract with a farmer just now? "
"That's right. If you buy rice that you can buy this year for a yearly price based on past information, and you have a contract, a lot of people will agree to it.For farmers, it sells at a higher price. "
"That's fine, but won't it hurt?You mean the right to buy rice at a higher price first, which is more abundant and cheaper than usual?How do you make money out of it? "
I somehow understood what I meant by futures trading.
In short, I think the price should be fixed in time to book the purchase.
So, no matter how the price of the rice changes later, in autumn, we will take back the rice at the price agreed at that time.
Even if there is no actual product, we will trade first.
Is that different from a pre-order?
Well, anyway, it would be possible to negotiate the price first and then take over the goods later.
But no matter what I think, I don't think it's going to make me feel like I'm short of money right now.
"No problem. This year's rice market will spike."
"A spike means the price goes up?Why? Shouldn't the price go down if it was a good crop? "
"That's right. And if it's a crime, not a crop, the price will go up."
"Eh? I mean, Eye thinks this year's rice turnover is going to be really bad."
"Yes, there will be a storm this year.It will be a big storm.Not only crops, but also river floods are expected to cause major damage. "
"Storm? Really?"
Wouldn't trading futures be profitable?
When I said so, Eye denied it straight away.
And the reason is in the storm.
Certainly, it rains heavily in this small group of countries.
And every time, the Kowloon Plain, a small group of countries, was damaged by flooding large rivers.
Even after I came here, I heard there was a small flood nearby, and there were stories of great damage in another small country.
Therefore, I cannot say that there is no such possibility.
But is there really such a storm?
"I am observing and predicting weather using four wings at the instruction of Ars.And it has begun not only in the United Kingdom of Fontana, but also in the East and beyond.As a result, it is highly likely that the neighboring countries, including the Orient Country, will fail due to the storm this year. "
Did you see how I couldn't believe Eye's face?
To dispel my doubts, Eye said so in a confident tone.
Speaking of which, there was a weather forecast.
When I was in Vulcania, the kingdom of the sky, I didn't really care because I lived higher than the clouds.
So I completely forgot that there was such a thing.
But not on the ground.
The earth below the clouds changes every year or every day.
And it's too unexpected for people on the ground.
But Eye was different.
Predict future weather with considerable accuracy.
Was the predictable area ready for the east sometime?
Perhaps the storm will really come this year and make rice cheap.
I can't do this.
Instead of buying rice and making a fortune, it might be too much for me and the mercenaries to eat.
Whether it's futures trading or the rest of last year's rice, I'll buy it now.
I decided to start buying rice believing in Ai's weather forecast.