The Economics of Prophecy

With only limited information, we are forced to make serious decisions. Nothing, that's the basics, including life.

But I can't say anything about it, so I put down an assumption that it's economics. The ideal hypothesis, rational subject, that man can know all the information and judge it completely correctly.

This should have been only a convenience for putting down certain standards, but it has sometimes been too overconfident to be a distant cause of the economic crisis.

The policy I'm about to show is the other way around. A framework for eventually going down the road in the right direction, without assuming that the answer is understood. Actually, that is also proof that the system called organism is terribly great.

What do we do to survive against an uninformed future?

Let's think about this situation to simplify it. There's a room with a hundred doors in front of you, where it's the turn of a set of organisms. The back wall looms slowly as if it were a shooting game. In order to survive, we have to open the door and head to the next room, Mirai.

This door is the scumbag. Oh, my God, 99 out of 100 have lethal traps set. Besides, we have to go through four blocks of the same room to get to the goal. In other words, a hundredth of them have to be drawn four times in a row in order to eventually survive. Of course, there's zero information on which door is correct.

In other words, the super difficulty of surviving is one in a hundred million if done properly. We need a hundred million sets of organisms for a total win.

But the creature will solve this game easily. All we need is resources to make a hundred sets, or 200 children.

First of all, this creature uses all of his resources before the wall approaches to make a hundred sets of children to die. One pair of remaining children opens one door and proceeds to the next block. Ninety-nine groups die as defined, and only one group remains.

One surviving group recovers resources from 99 dead bodies...

Note) I'll leave the method to your imagination.

Produce a new hundred sets of children. All you have to do is repeat this later. Actually, it doesn't matter how many blocks the room is, although it would be a hundredth of a billion. You definitely get to the goal even if you have no idea the answer.

Even if the future is completely unknown, we reach the answer of survival. This is the identity of a system called organism. Sacrifice is a premise rather than a problem. Instead, you don't have to know the future.

Use limited resources to challenge and brilliantly attack unknown problems. What a great system. All we need is fear of imminent death from behind and hope for a slight future.

Previously, we talked about the Bon Cu Bon of thought to the Alfinas, but in this case, the variation in the number of individuals takes the same form. Yes, this is learning, it's thinking.

You're the genius who thought of this system. But it's the devil. Well, this system doesn't assume intelligence, so maybe no one thought about it.

There are just limits to this wonderful way too. In order to be more efficient, the cost per vehicle must be low and the time to production must be short. Bacteria is the best.

Huge multicellular animals with high manufacturing costs are not suitable for this method. That's why organisms developed brains that could learn a variety of behaviors without risking their lives.

Its ultimate appearance implements an advanced simulation system in the brain, and on top of that, it is a being, a human being, with a civilization that can externalize it in the form of letters and inherit it it without going through genes.

"As we've all made it a problem now, the detailed nature of the demonic worm is unknown. Besides, they haven't seen each other in 400 years. It may be the first time in 800 years that full activity has taken place. When that happens, gathering information takes time. So assume learning while fighting. If we change the way we say it, we create a strategic situation where we gradually gather information as we draw. In other words, the best way to fight for learning is not to say victory"

Of course I would never have crossed that if I had won. But we have a pen as well as a sword. Compete more with learning efficiency than with being human. I mean, think with a pen and fight with a sword.

"Humans learn at much faster speeds than demonic worms. This is our advantage, and we take advantage of it. Suppose an adult has been raiding since next spring, the first year, if you don't lose. When it comes to next year, we're in our favor. For example, we don't hibernate, but demon worms are more likely to hibernate with chrysalis. In other words, we can build on our achievements up to autumn and conduct research during the winter months. His Royal Highness Maityr said, it is the development of a magic guide that efficiently strikes demon worms. Progress is not limited to magical guidance. For example, how to fight, how to build a position. The same goes for backward support. In other words, the more battles continue, the more the tactics on the human side evolve. I'm not saying demon worms don't learn, but humans are faster. It's getting more and more advantageous."

No matter how strong or large, the worm does not move.

Of course, I know from previous life experience that there is a problem with this.

There were insects in previous life that did harm to humans as well. Typical are pests attached to crops. Humans used insecticides to exterminate pests to win big. But there was a tail waiting for me. A small number of pesticide-resistant individuals survived and reproduced in large quantities on agricultural land where their natural enemies were no longer present.

The learning method of evolution, which uses a large number of individuals and the speed of generational change, outweighs the clever measures taken by the human brain. In other words, insecticides didn't work for insects. They attacked not with thoughts, but with individual numbers of Bon Cu Bon. The battle between antibiotics and resistant bacteria forced an even more unfavourable battle.

But this is a one-time result. Humanity not only learns, but also increases the rate of learning itself. As a result, if insects could develop new insecticides at a rate that exceeds the speed at which they mutate. Pests will soon be eliminated.

This time he's a visibly sized opponent, and even if he says he has a large number, the bacteria are much less than the insects of previous life.

"What is necessary for this is a battlefield that does not drain the foundations of Kokurikoku, which focuses on and supports learning."

I'll finish the explanation. If a long-term battle is assumed, strategy must include learning. This is the same thing in battle and management.

"Shit, but the demon bugs are going to grow in numbers in the period of purple magic."

"Hmm, basically attracting it to the realm of the Fei Long is a good basic strategy, and from now on, I wonder if the outbreak of demonic worms can be considered anywhere other than in the Blood Mountains. For example, what if we start breeding in the demonic veins of the East and West of the kingdom?"

Mathier and Fulsey point it out. It is assumed that only the Blood Mountains and their vicinity are currently observed with purple light. But as far as the image of prophecy is concerned, purple magic is likely to occur everywhere in the future.

In fact, there is a purple-like reaction that occurred at the eastern end of the empire.

"I see..."

I thought about it. Assuming the array is an insect, even if the number of individuals is reduced to a tenth in the first year, it could even be a resurgence, no doubling, next year.

Even if we streamline the way we fight in a year by a dozen percent, we create a war situation where the number and range of opponents doubles and we can't afford to be poor and learn. We're being pushed into a strategically disadvantaged situation.

"First of all, it's probably been over a year since that demon worm went from egg to adult."

The purple magic of Flying Dragon Mountain has been around for two years. But the demon worm has not reached adulthood. It's been in the Blood Mountains for a long time, but at least we haven't witnessed a swarm of demonic worms.

Of course, even adults feathering in the Blood Mountains next year could be even more numerous than next year. Well, that size of a demon bug, even if we could have a far higher number of individuals than dragons, doesn't end up with the number of insects. Biomass per animal is tens of thousands of times larger than insects.

If we take these things into account, even if we can't get our hands on the Blood Mountains, which are the biggest source, we might be able to handle the Devil's Vessel.

"I see. It doesn't mean that if we can prevent the first year, we'll have room for a couple of years of learning."

"If you go through pupae, you might be able to reduce the number of individuals during the winter."

Maityle and the others nodded. Even the current spirits are powerful enough to deal with the normal warcraft and explore the demonic veins.

Of course, I can't say for sure. If the disaster is to subside in a year, we can also adopt a "no difficulty” policy of protecting only major areas, assuming that there is significant damage across both countries. Not as insects, but humans are organisms, so if we don't even destroy them, we can increase them again.

However, it must be assumed that in this case it will last for several decades. It goes towards the inevitable of doom.

"I understand the policy. But to study purple magic..."

Fulsey saw Alfina. Yes, there's a big problem with this way. Alfina will be burdened. Because so far, the only way to artificially generate purple magic is through the crystal of prophecy. And even if you don't think about emotions, you can't rely on a system that relies on one person.

By and large, I was looking to build a system that Alfina didn't rely on from the beginning.

"Dear Alfina, You can't draw purple magic from the crystal at the right time, can you?"

I checked.

"Yes, I can only wait for the crystal to react. But if it's so frequent now..."

"Next, though. Wouldn't that crystal reaction also depend on the location?"

I blocked Alfina's words.

"... right. What happens if we let the crystal off the altar of the diocese? At least I don't think I'll go the same way as before. But there's still a lot to look into..."

"That's why I prepared this negative demonic crystal."

I pointed at a package that was tightly sealed so that it wouldn't come into contact with normal demonic crystals. Minerals with the potential to elicit magic, without going through humans with qualities. With this, it may be possible to generate magic without an operator.

What I created in my earlier strategy was a situation where it was simply more important to generate massive amounts of purple magic than the crystal's prophetic ability. Later, if it's just the occurrence of purple magic, you just have to be able to form a form that has nothing to do with qualities.

It is an individually independent, stable system. Yeah, that's basic to security.

"So I want to start by analyzing the nature of this in Ealis."

Due to the nature of turning demonic crystals into worthless stones, you can't hit boulders and stick them to crystals in production.

"I understand the logic.... Well, that sounds interesting."

"... something catches me a little bit. All right, that's what Ricardo said. Let's do what he says first."

The recognition of the heads of each of the kingdom empires was obtained. Although Alfina looks a little unconvinced. I won't say anything.

"Then let's split up. First, the curator asks for radar improvements to prepare the device for transmitting certain wavelengths widely around. Noel asks for a basic circuit production procedure for the new Magic Conductor circuit. His Royal Highness Maityr wants you to help him analyze the design aspects of Noel's demon guidance circuit and then the negative demon crystals."

I decided to split the arrow early.

"Um, I..."

Alfina raised her hand. Shit, I'm not thinking about it properly.

"Eh, Master Alfina... for a time of need..."

"Something is less overprotective than before.... Sort of good though"

Mathier said softly.

"And if you ask Alfina to adjust each squad. You see, I asked for that when I was a bearer, and in my previous joint research."

Noel said. I see. Nice follow.

"Right. Yeah. Please. Definitely an important role."

Especially if I can't. Yeah, it's the right material.

"... I get it. But say it right when you need it. Later, Your Highness, thank you for earlier."

Alfina said.

"Well, then. The future of the human race depends on us, so we have to work hard."

Say something that doesn't look like Fulsey. Has it finally come to my consciousness as the person responsible? As I was saying, the backbone of this strategy hangs on Fulsey's radar.

"... me, at the worst of times, not in the worst position?

Noel trembled. Apparently, even now, he noticed a great deal of responsibility. That's right, not the difficulty of educating a new apprentice. Well, given the new system of mass production of magic wands, I'd also like to ask for the educational management of the apprentice.

Well, it's me more than that. First, the analysis of that mysterious crystal. What kind of principle is it that magic occurs without qualities?