Red Alert Somalia

ps: Eighth!!

Does the United States dare to fight Somalia?

Regardless of the national and parliament, it is impossible to start a war again, let alone the sad place in the United States.

Xiao Da, will China and Russia agree?The two have joined together diplomatically, just to make the United States quieter.

Just like the Syrian issue, China and the United States stand firmly together on the UN and resist the use of force by the United States against Syria.

Now, even though it does not require the consent of the United Nations, it would not be a simple matter for the United States to use force against Somalia at all costs.

Even if it is to make the United States succeed, the United States once again bears the reputation of killing innocent people and ushered in strong opposition from China and Russia.But, won't China support another person?

Therefore, after thinking about it, the solution to this matter lies with China and Russia.

At the same time, what makes the United States a headache is that China has already had a great influence in Africa, especially in southern Africa.Now that China has reached out to the east, it has to make the United States think about its countermeasures.

In terms of military affairs, the two sides can contain each other, but non-military means need to be handled properly.

Some people say that the biggest event of this century is not a series of wars launched by the United States around the world and transplantation of American-style democracy everywhere, nor is it the pace of countries such as North Korea and Iran entering the world's nuclear power clubs, but the rise of China and India.

However, in the world last year, what attracted the most attention was not Iran’s nuclear progress and North Korea’s return to the “Six-Party Talks”, nor was it the impact of the US mid-term election results on the US global strategy. It was China-Africa talks, and Europe even commented: “ Find African leaders to Beijing."

Africa seems to have been forgotten by the world for a long time. In the eyes of the people of the world, Africa is surprised by poverty, backwardness, and hunger. Especially in the eyes of developed countries, Africa is surprised by the poor and small amount of free aid. They have never thought about the history of Africa. And the reason for the reality, the role of African resources in world development.

The history of Africa is the history of those who were flooded with colonialism. The colonialists only plundered and bullied Africa. However, this was not the case with China. In the early days of the founding of the new China, the imperialist blockade and the country’s difficult conditions did not forget. African people with a common destiny provide assistance. The most famous "Tanzania-Zambia Railway" is a testimony of friendship. More than 7,000 people have spent several years, many of whom will live forever on the African continent. Many people burst into tears when they mention great people. So far, many people can still sing "The East Is Red", "Beijing's Jingshan", etc. Many people have read "Selected Works of Great Men", and many leaders have even studied it.So when Africa mentions China, many people praise it instead of being inspired by the West, because they think China is reliable.

In today's globalization, all regions are stepping up their development. Africa still does not pay enough attention. China entered Africa more than a decade ago and is now the second largest country in Africa after the United States. France has been overtaken.The last Chinese government's trip to Africa shocked the world. Western politicians began to speculate about China's intention to intervene in Africa. They began to talk about their pretentious views and criticized China.

A few years ago, many media outlets in the United States pointed out that China’s intervention would squeeze out the United States and France as the largest foreign power in Africa.Some American commentators immediately pointed out: China’s trip to Africa will further deteriorate the global resource situation. China is already the world’s largest resource consuming country, and China’s actions should be globally responsible.

Today, the United States has two choices. One is to increase investment in Africa and compete with China for resources in Africa.The second is to kill Li Lan directly without doing anything.

Both options have their pros and cons.

The first method is the simplest and the least harmful. There is nothing but money.

And the second one is very likely to actually touch the red line of China.Over the years, the United States has been testing the bottom line of China.In the direction of the South China Sea and the East China Sea, the United States has almost understood China’s psychological defense.

As a developing country, China rarely speaks such a mouth and speaks such strong words.This can't help making the United States hesitate. Once the United States attacks Li Lan, will it cause China and the United States to be completely torn apart?

Of course, when it comes to war between the two countries, it is absolutely impossible. Not only the United States is unwilling, but China also does not want it.

The Chinese hand really caught the United States by surprise.The China strategy formulated by the United States before must be revised after this incident.This is another meaning of China's open support for Li Lan.

The controversial issue of Island Jiao around China is an important step for the United States to win other Asian countries against China.

The island dispute between China and neighboring countries appears to be a contradiction with neighboring countries, but in the final analysis it is a game between China and the United States. The reason why China is in the South China Sea and Yudao recently (the three words can’t come out!!!) It is not only related to China’s national strategy, that the fundamental reason for not daring to leapfrog the thunder pond half a step is to worry that the United States will intervene militarily, because whether it is offensive or defensive, or in the sky information electronic warfare, China cannot compete with the United States. Once China rashly A conflict with the United States will have unimaginable consequences, and even China will repeat the mistakes of the Soviet Union.

Without the intervention of the United States on the issue of island disputes, the situation around China would not be so complicated, and other countries would not dare to provoke China easily. If China wants to resolve island disputes, it would be easy to solve, and Yudao would also relieve a lot of pressure.If the United States insists on intervening in East Asian island disputes, I am afraid China will face a lot of pressure. With the instigation and support of the United States, neighboring countries will unite and warm up on island disputes, further provoke and isolate China, and safeguard its own vested interests.

Based on the analysis of the current domestic and international situations, the “Xisha model” of the 1970s and 1980s is no longer suitable for Nansha and Yudao. China does not need to commit itself to resolving island disputes by force, but it cannot just advocate the so-called “set aside disputes and work together. Development".

China has begun to adopt a flexible strategy of combining diplomacy and military affairs. On the premise that it will neither tear its skin nor engage in war with the other party, it has dispatched law enforcement ships into the disputed waters to start a war of attrition with the other party. Passivity becomes active, gradually weakening the opponent's actual control over disputed islands. The best example at present is Huangyan Island, and this mode can also be called "Huangyan Island Mode".Currently, Zhonghua is fully implementing the "Huangyan Island" model in Yudao.

In fact, senior Chinese officials also understand that if you want to completely resolve island disputes, you should take a long-term view instead of rushing forward. At this stage, it is not realistic for China to resolve island disputes by military means. If China wants to be a soldier without a fight, Recently, we can only insist on focusing on economic construction and focusing on military investment while developing the economy. When the military and economic development reach a certain stage, when China can gain an advantage in confrontation with the United States, I am afraid that others All tough problems will be solved easily. Therefore, the key to China's settlement of island disputes lies in its strength, not whether it is strong or not. It is not too late for a gentleman to avenge ten years. The same resolution of island disputes is not a matter of overnight, but a long-term plan.

The African strategy is China's alternative way of playing games with the United States, which directly disrupts the overall US strategy and forces the United States to take a break.At the same time, it has also increased China's influence in the world. Since the leader of China No. 1 came to power last year, he has visited Russia and Africa, basically for this.

Therefore, in resolving the Somalia issue, the top US officials did not dare to be too careful.

Obama also issued two theater commands to strengthen military vigilance, and it was only a wooing of local forces in Somalia.

"Mr. President, the current situation around Somalia and the possible scale of development of Chinese Li Lan in Somalia in the next three years have been simulated." Hagel said to the meditating Obama.

"Read."

"According to the current development trend of important figure Li Lan in Somalia, it is very difficult for him to do anything in three years. In order to accommodate the nearly 500,000 victims, the Chinese government has wanted Somalia to export a large amount of steel bars these days. Cement, there are also a lot of industrial equipment. It can also be seen from this point that the Chinese government is supporting Li Lan's development in Somalia.

However, it will take a long time for the 500,000 victims to complete the resettlement and enable them to support themselves. Therefore, according to the analysis, China will not want to make a big difference in Somalia within three years.

However, in three years, China will have 500,000 loyal supporters in Somalia.And, this number will change over time.According to satellite pictures, the city being built by the Chinese covers an area of ​​800 square meters and can accommodate at least two million people, and there is still much room for expansion in the future."

"We must be cautious in this matter, and immediately let people draw up a report to support the Bosasso government forces. It must take three years, no, one year to form a military advantage over that territory." Obama said in his heart. Weighed for a while.

"Yes, however, this matter is not suitable for us to come forward. If we come forward, it is equivalent to acknowledging Puntland’s national status. This is a great contradiction for the formal government of Somalia that we support in Mogadishu. "Hagel said.

"Then it is up to us to pay for Ethiopia to come forward, and we must form a comprehensive advantage over China. There we belong to the home court. China wants to make trouble, but it is not that simple." Obama said here, paused for a moment, and continued. Said: "Let the Fifth Fleet find a time to conduct a military exercise in the Gulf of Aden on the grounds of anti-piracy."