The Economics of Prophecy

"Next Step........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ Yes, we were able to locate the evacuation..."

"No, sir." "It's not enough to convince the kingdom."

Since the prophecy itself has not been dealt with, it is likely that no measures will be taken even if the region is slightly limited. First, Alfina's image is limiting. There is no guarantee that Leiria was the only one who caused the damage.

"Identification of the type of disaster."

"But the prophecy cannot see the calamity itself."

"We have information on new and disastrous areas. In other words, you can narrow down candidates for disasters that can occur from the surrounding geography and so on. So we can hypothesize what kind of disaster will happen."

"Hypothesis......?

Alfina makes a strange face. I'm uncomfortable with hypotheses about prophecy.

"We will first name candidates for disasters that can happen. The big tip is that villagers run away. What we know from this…"

"You throw away the fields of abundance and run away. That's about it. If it's cold or drought, the villagers can see the signs."

"Right, it's a sudden event. Which means it was for the villagers, at least."

If this is the case, Meer's senses are much more dependable. I was there till I was ten.

"Both natural and man-made disasters are possible……. Let's start with the human factor."

Meer nodded at my words and Alfina clouded her face. The West, precisely the Northwest, has a border with the Empire. Empires, many of whose land are mountains, have always sought food. There have been major disputes in the past. The present long peace is due to the fact that the problems the Empire has had in the country are matched by the interests of mutual trade.

"Isn't one of the reasons Master Alfina was stopped" to not inspire the Empire "?

"... you're right"

Because there is no such thing as good or evil in the state, I believe that there is no such thing as a country that does not have to be vigilant in its neighbors. Even the Empire should, of course, be wary of this one, and they should be. And that's why it's natural to avoid bad stimuli. That is not wrong in itself.

If the story of the kingdom's vigilance in the West becomes unnecessarily loud, it raises the level of vigilance for the empire's kingdom. That raises the Kingdom's guard. Finally, rumors such as, "What is the prophecy of the matter is an invasion of the empire" walk alone. Fifty years of peace and so on could be broken in an instant.

However, it is entirely separate from fearing it and not considering the possibility of an invasion of the Empire. So I'll consider it.

"But it won't be likely"

I pointed to the map. Adjacent to the Empire is the northern West. And the path that the great army can march on leads east to Wang Capital. Even if purely food itself is the aim, the North serves its purpose better than the South. Until the Imperial Army arrives in Leiria over the border, it's hard to even think of any warning. Besides...

"This is a confirmation of the image. Was the house down or something? Didn't you see any smoke or anything across the horizon?

"No, those images didn't come to mind. Sunny weather, which is why the escaping people are extra..."

Every time I ask you a question, you may recall a tragic image. But it's important information. If it's war, it's not weird to go up one of the smokes. Invasion burns the village, or it burns because it doesn't feed the enemy.

"The next possibility is that there will be a massive insurgency."

To my words, Alfina blued her face more and more. I can see that, too, given her lineage, but there's no reason not to consider it. The region is still hated by the Wang capital because of the rebellion twenty years ago. Tax rates are also tight. But the rebellion that could kill all the villagers, that's all. Neither Leiria nor his surroundings have been hunted down that far. All the more so if it's abundant.

"It's hard to think about this either."

Meer nodded at my explanation. Meer is the one who knows the most about the countryside. Alfina makes a reassuring face.

"The next step is a natural disaster. Earthquakes, floods, volcanic eruptions…"

There's no big river around that village, and there's no record of the mountains erupting. Of course, it may erupt, but even modern Japan could not predict volcanic eruptions with sufficient precision. Another earthquake. I'm pointing at the map, one by one, erasing possibilities.

"It will be hard to even think about the plague epidemic..."

It is difficult to think about abandoning the village due to the plague due to the population density of this era. Will I run and run when the plague strikes? I look at the map. Meer nodded at my words. Nor can Alfina speak differently.

"Then the next possibility…, the next, …"

"Mr. Ricardo? Seniors?

Keep your mouth shut. I'm about to see the gaze of two girls. Trouble, the possibilities have been greatly examined. Other possible natural disasters are. Tsunami? It's not adjacent to the sea. The meteorite's fall, it doesn't fit the image, and it's literally worrying. No, wait, maybe there's meteorite-summoning magic...

You think the demon king has been summoned from another world?... There's something demonic in me that suddenly wakes up. If I have that hand cheat, I want it. I'm not even willing to consider it. If the Demon King shows up, he'll pray with you and the brave ones. By the way, I was a brave man is dismissed.

....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... I shook my head. But something catches on.

"Wait, this is a fantasy world..."

Whether it's a man-made or a natural disaster, my idea is truly Earth compliant.

But what we need to think about now is the catastrophe that can happen in this world. My fingers turn the page as Alfina and Meer look suspiciously unable to understand the word fantasy. Near the rear end of the drawing, fingers stopped on the page of an organism not on Earth.

The other hand reaches out to the map. The index finger placed in the village of Leiria moved straight to the side. It describes a mountain range written in brown and a forest written in red. A demonic realm that normally doesn't interact with humans. But there are exceptions. The phenomenon of massive monsters overflowing from the red forest.

"Warcraft Flood (Monster Flood) …"

From my mouth came a word that was unrealistic to me. I'm attacked by the illusion that even the events of the original world game are talking about.

"Is it the Warcraft Flood? If you're a bunch of monsters, at least you don't actively arson. You don't burn yourself for fear of being deprived of food. But..."

"There is no record of a monster flood in the West."

Meer and Alfina said. Sure, I was about to consider a disaster that could happen to the Renge project. Given the possibility, Warcraft Flood (Monster Flood) is a candidate to be excluded just like volcanic eruptions and floods.

"But when I think about it, why isn't there a Warcraft Flood (Monster Flood) happening in the West?

I opened a map representing the entire kingdom. Both east and west of the kingdom have mountain ranges. The red forest adjacent to the mountain range indicates that it is the habitat of the monster, an area affected by magic from the mountain range. East-West terrain is symmetrical, and Warcraft flooding (Monster Flood) occurs every few years in the East.

I scroll through the pages with the monsters. Even poor descriptions of monster ecosystems where humans rarely enter are scarce. "What Causes the Warcraft Flood (Monster Flood)" cannot be solved by punching it into the search window.

"You don't have much information to consider. Another book..."

"Senior, the role of the Knights is to respond to the Warcraft Flood."

"Military intelligence."

Even the information is worth a lot. If you want to get some information, it feels like looking for someone who ”knows" the information and "knows" the person who "knows. So, look for people like that.

I am only neutral, but objectively, to the prophecy of rocking the kingdom's stability attempts to gain access to military information. Death confirmed.

I hold my head. Meer also shook her head. But...

"Well, if it's knowledge of the Warcraft Flood (Monster Flood), there's more to it than anyone else..."

Alfina said. Her fingertips were pointed at the door of those who were not in the browsing room. The door that leads to the library for some reason.

"The librarian is a retired court magician."

Meer said. Was it such a priori? I never saw it, so I wasn't aware of it at all.