The Economics of Prophecy

Out in the hallway, me and Fulsey head to the depot. I feel incarcerated, but I can't do it. Fulsey's an explanator and she doesn't seem to have a vote anyway, and she doesn't even have a say in it to me. We'll have to leave the rest to Euphiria, Craig, and the Chancellor.

Aristocrats gathering in hallways to talk to each other in secret. There is anxiety in their expressions. I guess you're anxious to get caught up in a conflict between a second prince and a third prince.

"Ricardo."

Craig called me off on the way down the hall. As it is, they are taken to a small room away from the conference room. The room had Euphiria and the Chancellor, Uncle Adele. Everyone looks tough, including Craig. I guess we're talking about rebuilding tactics for the second half.

"The problem is that the neutrals are so dull."

Euphiria told me. Oh, my God, it seems that some of those who are passive opinions among the neutrals are more of a nobleman who is badly damaged by the invasion of the Empire.

"Some of the empire's cryptography suggested how it works against the western gods. However, I did not see any suspicious collaboration between the western monarchs and the Grand Duke of Kurtheit or His Royal Highness the Second Prince"

said the Chancellor. It seems the second prince valve is not the only worm in the lion's body. Still, that's what you're looking at. I knew I couldn't do it.

"What do you think of Ricardo"

Craig asked me. It's my worst field. By and large, if that was Congress earlier, wouldn't this be a cabinet level place? The Chancellor is looking at me, too. I need a help ship to tell me what I know about civilian flair.

"... I don't know. How much do you want as a result of the meeting in the first place?"

I asked the opposite question. I'm probably off. I thought it would basically come together against the Empire.

"We need to make the neutrals at least recognize the threat of the empire. It's not a story. Especially if the First Knights have to see reality. The fact that the catastrophe ahead was cut through with little damage is more of an obstacle."

"My two brothers and Grand Duke Kurtheit are untreated. It's even dangerous if we know what we're doing."

Euphiria and Craig said. Is it the veteran politician's decision that the Second Prince Valve is only used by the Empire? If you also consider the words of the Chancellor, do you mean the Empire does not consider the traitors as allies?

No, then should the Second Prince Valve be so far more of an incompetent ally than a traitor? Either way, it's scarier than the enemy.

I can trust you far more than I can judge, and from the reaction of the Eastern Grand Duke and the Second Prince when I heard about the Empire, sure don't feel that way.

"... the empire is well prepared for this one, whereas the kingdom is an earlier meeting. I mean, the last thing we need right now is time."

I can't read it, so I defined the problem first. It's a nasty reality that we've been losing before we fought. If we didn't get the information on the demon pulse or the horse dragon, this one was attacked without even realizing the hostility of the Empire. There must just be a miscalculation in the empire, too, because I guess we were just supposed to crush Bertoldo, the western necessity with a live broken castle hammer, and multiply that mess by to move forward with the strategy.

"Yes, but what exactly do we do?"

"It's the use of the second prince valve. We should make sure that the harder they work to defend their position, rather than their empire, the later the invasion of the empire delays."

Let's use espionage as reverse espionage, that's my suggestion. I mean, the Second Prince Valve is basically an enemy, so I was thinking about dealing with it. It's already seeded.

"Can you do something that convenient?

"The key is the capture, Your Highness."

I said.

"I guess that's what Alfina tells you, isn't it?

Euphiria said that somehow. I don't know what that means.

"Isn't Empress Liezabelt the one who was stoned to death as a cut to the empire to start a war? There's no way the Empire will find value."

The Prime Minister speaks differently. The Empire is a fire of war. It could even have left it as such. Even if we return unconditionally, as the Empire says, there is no diplomatic significance. But that's the story at that point.

"Not at the moment"

I let him know that Liesebert has the greatest information to judge what the Empire wants, that is, the Kingdom's force, the secret of crusading dragons.

"At the same time as we make sure this information passes to the Empire, we leave it to the Second Prince Valley to negotiate the return of the Empress to the Empire. Plus, it makes me think I have a chance to get that pollen. You will have time to negotiate the return of the princess and for the Second Prince Valve to try to obtain pollen for the Empire."

"Sure, that's what they wanted to know the most."

"What's more, you actually give pollen to the Crown Princess. The Empire just has to take more time to make sure the information is true and false."

"What?" "Isn't that a problem?"

The three of them are surprised. I explained the nature of the pollen revealed in the Dulgan investigation.

"I see. You want me to control poison with poison"

Euphiria and Craig nodded. But the prime minister makes a difficult face.

"Sure, I've never been over it if I could buy time. But what about the neutrals? We can be alarmed that the Empire's threat was averted with the return of the Crown Princess."

"What are their behavioral principles?

"Let's be afraid. Fear of something different happening."

Humans want stability. So we want to ignore the very existence of an unprecedented fear of empire.

"Then let's use that. I'm going to make fear a concrete form."

"What are we going to do? No way, we can capture the horse dragon and pull it out in front of him."

"It's a proper method of meeting. It's called" pre-death "cause of death analysis."

I went. I read it in a book by a psychologist who won the Nobel Prize in Economics in the original world. It was Gary Klein who devised it. It's a little bit of a drama, but in this case, it's just the right thing to do.

I explained the tactics of the second half of the meeting to the members who lay their necks on contradictions, including words.

◇ ◇

"Both sides' opinions contain points to be taken into account. So I want to consider each claim in turn"

The Prime Minister first indicated the direction of the debate, which was initiated later in the meeting. The king nodded heavily on the throne. By the way, after our discussion, the Chancellor has also gone to the second prince's valley's depot. As a neutral position, it's a stance of listening to opposing speakers.

"Let me get started, then. From the standpoint that the Empire uses powerful warcraft to intentionally invade the kingdom, I have to start with the worst assumption"

Craig glanced at me with naughty eyes.

"I want the lords to think about how the kingdom will perish as a result of the invasion of the empire. In particular, I would expect the opinions of those with territories in the West and of the First Knights, who specialise in interpersonal combat"

Craig's words make the venue noisy. This is pre-mortem cause of death analysis. In other words, consider the process of how the kingdom perished, then, based on the future of being destroyed by the Empire.

Conversely, it is also a simulation that if you are an empire, this is how you destroy the kingdom.

"In wars up to fifty years ago, the empire pushed, and the kingdom has taken a lasting strategy against it with its troops, its terrestrial interests and the power of replenishment. As a result, the invasion of the Empire has all been repelled. May I, First Knight Commander?"

"Ugh, um. You're right."

The First Knight Commander nodded with confusion. Well, an argument based on the assumption of losing would be a gap in the Knights' way of thinking.

"But this time the Empire has a way of overturning this. That's the horse dragon the Great Sage explained earlier."

Craig proposes electric shock operations by horse dragons that are faster and sturdier than horses and have longer driving distances.

"Now in this case, where is the first fort to be attacked using the manoeuvre of the horse dragon"

Craig pointed to the big map and saw the neutral faction. One nobleman raises his hand at the forehand.

"... Maurant is considered the most dangerous. Given the normal route, it takes too long from the crossing point…"

Look left and right. And go on.

"As His Highness said, if the Imperial Horse has as much power as it can make a longitudinal journey through the mountains, it will not be the greatest target..."

I put an arrow on the big map. On the map, in a step-by-step position in a fort positioned to loosely surround the crossing point with the Empire. If this place breaks through, the fort's cooperation will be severed between East and West.

"I see."

Said as Craig was impressed. Probably a nobleman around that Maurant.

"First of all, I didn't know the Empire was really going to attack me"

"Grand Duke Kurtheit. The argument in line with the Grand Duke's claims will be exhausted after this."

said the Chancellor. The Grand Duke of the East sat with his fists trembling.

"So what happens to the Empire's next move after the defensive line is broken up? Cole trying to poke Here or the King's Capital to get to Bertoldo..."

Craig did his hand to his jaw.

"Wait. Such simple thought confuses the battle of an unintelligent warcraft with a human opponent. If the Empire has a decent brain, the next thing we know, it's Kasel."

The First Knights said as if it were a lie. I look for Kasel on the map. It's not Bertoldo or Wang Capital, it's really halfway there......

"I see, is it a strategy called both Bertoldo and Wang Du Lami"

I finally understood it in Craig's words. The kingdom, devoured of defense, is divided between Bertoldo and the king's capital, creating a situation of royal flying.

"I see, if that happens, the upset lords will also come out"

Euphiria looked at the neutrals and said: Earlier, a nobleman, who spoke passively against the imperial defense, lay down his face.

The debate continues afterwards.

If the king's capital falls, it ends. Even if he protects the king's capital, Bertoldo is dropped, and he holds down the western barn zone. The scenario is that the empire, which no longer has the weakness "Hokiyuufu", will conquer all the kingdoms in the following years.

The majority of the neutrals are blue on a level I can tell. To be honest, my spine is getting cold, too. It's worse than our first assumption.

But perhaps the scenario now unfolded is more correct. Human beings who know the area properly, and military commanders who assume interpersonal combat while bent, used their expertise correctly.

In the first half of the meeting, in contrast to the fact that their expertise was used to deny reality. The power of pre-mortem cause of death analysis was amply exerted.

"Now let's have an argument on the assumption that the next thing we know, harmony with the Empire will be preserved. Your Highness Dernius and Grand Duke Kurtheit. Which will speak?

Word of the Chancellor. The gaze concentrated simultaneously at the beginning of the left column.